Aging Process of Population by Edward Rosset PDF

By Edward Rosset

ISBN-10: 0080104029

ISBN-13: 9780080104027

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THOMPSON, the author of many American forecasts, writes: "In the very nature of the case one cannot foresee the precise course of the birth rate or the immigration policy which will be followed. Even the exact trend of the death rate is uncertain, although the error likely to arise from this source is not great" {Population Problems9 third edition, McGraw-Hill, New York and London 1942, p. 2 8 2 ) . Op. , p. 2 8 2 ff. 2 3 . More detailed information about the English forecast of 1 9 4 7 is to be found in L E O SILBERMAN'S Essential Concepts and Methods in Demography, a supplement to the second edition of the work by Paul H .

40-41) Burgdorfer showed that if the development trends of the thirties of the 20th century had continued for a long period, the German population, which had increased very much during the 19th century, would decline rapidly within the 20th century; it would drop to 47,000,000 by the year 2000. 10. Thus the American demographer Warren S. Thompson states: "Obviously any long-time plans for national development must rest on estimates of our future population" (Population Problems, 3rd edition, p.

More detailed information about the English forecast of 1 9 4 7 is to be found in L E O SILBERMAN'S Essential Concepts and Methods in Demography, a supplement to the second edition of the work by Paul H . LANDIS, Population Problems. 2 4 . From the U . N . study, The Aging of Populations and Its Economic and Social Implications, New York, 1 9 5 6 , p. 2 . 22. 25. W . S. THOMPSON, op. , p. 2 8 3 . 2 6 . G. C. ALLEN'S standpoint is against long-term forecasts: "Long-term forecasts of population can, however, be disregarded, for experience shows that they are seldom fulfilled, and it is to the changes of the recent past and of the next fifteen years that attention can be usefully directed" (Japan*s Economic Recovery, Oxford University Press, London, 1 9 5 8 , p.

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Aging Process of Population by Edward Rosset


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